NFL Betting Australia: Tips, Odds & Strategies
Introduction
American football is the most-watched sport in the US. This makes the NFL the most-watched tournament in the country, but recently, the popularity of the sport and the league has been growing outside the country’s borders. Australia is no exception here. Primetime game broadcasts on ESPN and 7Mate have helped the sport to become popular to the extent that an increasing fan base has started forming.
The growing popularity of the sport has also pushed up the number of people who’d love to bet on it and get the most out of the experience, but due to BetStop, the options are limited and come with additional regulations. This is where international, licensed betting sites come into play. These are offshore online sportsbooks that offer a wide range of betting options, all regulated and licensed, so you can bet with no issues whatsoever. If you’re wondering about safe alternatives, explore how to legally get around BetStop restrictions for sports betting in Australia.
This guide will cover everything from reading odds and lines all the way to strategies and playoff betting, all tailored for Aussies. So get ready, you’re about to find out some the useful information for NFL betting.
Why Bet on the NFL? An Aussie Punter’s Dream
There are multitudes of reasons why the NFL is a dream come true for an Aussie punter. Let’s break this statement down:
- Perfect Schedule – The games are held multiple times throughout the week on Mondays, Thursdays, and Sunday nights. This gives players plenty of options to bet on different games in a week.
- Data and Statistics – The NFL is incredibly stats-driven, so if you’re an analytical bettor, this league is definitely a perfect chance for you.
- Market Variety – The market is versatile and gives players hundreds of different options to bet on per game, including betting on the final score to individual player performances.
- The Season Structure – The regular season is long and lasts for 18 games per team, which then leads to a clear and exciting playoff picture, with multiple additions and phases for betting.
To get the broader picture beyond the NFL, check out our insights into online sports betting in Australia outside BetStop limits.
Understanding NFL Betting Odds and Lines (The Core Concepts)
This is probably the most important information in the article, and we’ll try to make it as simple as possible. So bets in American football are displayed with a plus or a minus sign. To understand them better, we need to understand that this system is based on a hypothetical $100 bet. Now what does that mean:
- Negative odds show how much you need to bet to win $100 profit. If, let’s say, the Kansas City Chiefs have -140, you’ll need to bet $140 to win $100 profit. A total winning bet would be $240 here, with $140 initial bet and $100 profit. These bets usually indicate the favorite of the game.
- Positive odds, on the other hand, indicate the underdog. They show how much profit you would actually win for every $100 of your bet. If you see that the Miami Dolphins are listed at +120, it means a $100 bet would return $120 profit, and a total winning bet would be $220.
Now that you know what negative and positive signs in front of odds mean, it’s time to explain the remaining key terms. Let’s start with The Point Spread (also The Line). This is also known as the handicap betting in the NFL. This allows the playing field between the favorite and the underdog. Sportsbooks usually set a margin of victory that the favourite must win by to “cover the spread.”
Time for an example, again:
Let’s say the bets are Green Bay Packers -7.5 (-110) vs. Detroit Lions +7.5 (-110)
The Packers are the favorites here because there is a minus sign in front of their bet. This means they have a handicap of 7.5 points. They must win the game by more than 7.5 points for your bet to win. The Lions, on the other hand, are underdogs, so they must just win the game, or if they lose it, then it should be less than 7.5 points.
There are a few things left for you to understand, and after that, you’ll have the knowledge of the core things in NFL betting. The simplest of those things is Moneylines, which is just predicting which team will win, with no points or handicaps. Another simpler betting option is Totals, where you bet on the final total score of both teams. The sportsbook sets the limit, and you just choose over or under the number.
Advanced NFL Betting Markets
Now that you know the basics of NFL betting, you can move to a more advanced level and understand the real depth of the league, which includes Player Props, Futures, and NFL MVP betting.
You can also bet on individual player performance, but do this when you are informed about their statistics. If the bet is Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing touchdowns, and you bet on that, it means you think that he will throw at least three touchdown passes in the game. This is especially helpful and profitable if you follow any of the specific players and are already familiar with their stats.
Futures betting is another type of betting where the result will be revealed only later. You can bet on Super Bowl winners, AFC or NFC conference winners, Division winners, or total season wins of a specific team.
There is also an NFL MVP betting option, where you try to predict which player will be named the best of the season. Usually, pre-season is the best time for more value, but if you decide to bet mid-season, it means you will be more informed about each player. In 2024, it was Josh Allen from the Buffalo Bills.
NFL Betting Strategies for Consistent Success
The NFL is a sports league after all, and nobody knows the final outcome, of course, but it is still possible to win money with a good and consistent strategy. First, you need to go beyond any team’s winning and losing statistics. For example, look at their Yards Per Play. This will help you understand how efficient a team is in offence and defence. High numbers mean that the team is good at moving the ball, while low numbers mean they struggle to sustain drives. In 2024, the San Francisco 49ers had a high number of Yards Per Play.
Also, look at the turnover differential, which refers to a team’s takeaways and giveaways. A positive number means a team has a better chance of winning. This was the Buffalo Bills in 2024.
Don’t forget about Red Zone Efficiency, too. This zone is the last 20 yards. Teams that have more touchdowns are more efficient in the Red Zone, so betting on them may seem more logical. Another important factor is the Quarterback of the team, who is probably the most influential player of the game. Teams with strong quarterbacks are usually the favorites in the game. This was the case in 2024 when Patrick Mahomes had slightly less impressive statistics, but he still led the Kansas City Chiefs to a Super Bowl win.
Also, pay attention to details like weather conditions or home/away games. Weather conditions are especially important for games in Chicago, Las Vegas, or Los Angeles. Pay attention to whether the team is used to that weather or not, whether it is a home game or away. For instance, the Green Bay Packers are known for their strong home performance, especially in cold weather, so you may prefer to bet on them.
There are some additional general rules you can follow to upgrade your experience:
- Never bet more than 1-2% of your bankroll on a single game; this rule will help you manage your funds better and prevent you from getting frustrated over losses.
- Shop for lines, which means comparing lines across different betting platforms before placing your bets. This is especially important because offshore sites set their own odds and lines, and they can vary. Registering on multiple online betting sites will help you keep updated.
- Avoid Bias. You may like one team, but the odds may tell you to bet on the other. Trust the logic and your head. Be disciplined and objective in your research and don’t feel afraid to bet against the team your heart favors.
Navigating the NFL Season: Regular Season vs. Playoffs
The biggest difference here is that you have more time for statistics during the regular season and less for the playoffs. The regular season is the time to find trends and define which team to bet on. You can also afford to have a few losing bets and still recover.
The playoffs are entirely different from regular games. The mentality here is win-or-go-home, which changes every team’s approach. Coaching becomes even more critical, and pressure tightens through the public and media. This public eye also draws many casual bettors to the game. This can sometimes cause lines to inflate, which means that the value increases on the other side. What to do in that case? Stay disciplined and play against the public bias, and eventually you’ll end up with a profit.
Don’t forget to adapt your strategy to both seasons. Use regular seasons for statistics and analytics, but narrow your focus to specific games during playoffs.
Finding the Best NFL Betting Sites for Australians (Not on BetStop)
In order to find the best NFL betting platform (not on BetStop), we need to look at the most crucial elements:
- Licensing and Security: Check if the site has a license from an authority. Most offshore sites are licensed by Curacao eGaming, Panama, and Gibraltar.
- Sports Market: Check if the site offers a wide range of NFL betting.
- Competitive Odds: Compare the odds of those offshore sites. Usually, their odds are better than Australian corporate books.
- Payment Methods: Find out if the site’s payment methods are tailored for Australians or if they offer fast withdrawals and deposits in cryptocurrency and e-wallet payments.
- Look for Live Streams: Many offshore sites offer live streaming of NFL games if you have a funded account or place a bet.
The sites you see here meet all these criteria, offering a superior and unrestricted NFL betting experience for Australian customers.
For Aussie punters seeking unrestricted gaming options, our guide to casinos not on BetStop for Australian players explains how these platforms operate safely offshore.
Top Casino Sites for NFL Betting
Before placing your NFL wagers, you can compare our list of top-rated offshore casinos not on BetStop with bonuses for Australian punters.
Wazamba
- Sports welcome bonus: 100% up to €100 (or currency equivalent) for sportsbook first deposits.
- Casino welcome: AU players can get 100% up to A$2,500 + 50 FS on the 1st deposit (regional offers vary).
- What they offer: Full sportsbook (NFL, live & pre-match) alongside a large casino/livedealer lobby and weekly reload/cashback promos.
- Payments: Multiple methods incl. Visa/Mastercard; e-wallets (Skrill, Neteller, Payz/Jeton/MiFinity); and crypto (BTC, ETH, LTC, USDT, etc.).
MyStake
- Sports welcome bonus: 120% up to €/$600 on the first sportsbook deposit (10x rollover; regional terms may vary).
- Casino welcome: Tiered options (e.g., 150% up to $300 small-deposit tier; or 100% up to $1,000), plus a 170% crypto alternative.
- What they offer: Big pre-match/live book (bet builder, cash-out), 5,000+ casino games, mini-games, regular reloads/cashback.
- Payments: Visa/Mastercard, Skrill, Neteller, bank transfer, PayPal (region-dependent) and major cryptos (BTC, ETH, USDT, etc.).
DonBet
- Sports welcome bonus: 120% up to €600 for new sports bettors.
- Casino welcome: 150% up to €/$750 + 50 FS on casino.
- What they offer: Hybrid sportsbook + casino with generous ongoing promos and a modern, mobile-first interface. (Check local access.)
- Payments: Visa, Mastercard, Skrill, Neteller, AstroPay, plus BitGo/Payop rails, good card, e-wallet & crypto coverage.
RocketPlay
- Rocketplay casino offers a Curaçao License and provides us with secure encryption of our data to players.
- It is accessible on any mobile or desktop device.
- An extensive collection of more than 6000 games available from top providers.
- Offers a live casino.
- Sports welcome bonus: Sports offers exist (e.g., reviews list up to 200% sports bonus + freebet; details can vary by market).
- Casino welcome: Commonly 100% up to €/$1,000 + 100 FS on 1st deposit; 2nd deposit often 200% up to €/$1,000 (check your region).
- What they offer: Casino-led brand with a growing sportsbook, frequent reloads/cashback and a tiered VIP program.
- Payments: Cards + e-wallets (e.g., Skrill, MuchBetter, MiFinity, ecoPayz, Neosurf, iDebit) and Bitcoin/crypto; AU page shows wide local options.
WinSpirit
- Sports welcome bonus: Up to $200 bonus + $100 freebet across the first two deposits (wording may show regional currencies).
- Casino welcome: Frequently 100% up to €200 + 100 FS for new casino players.
- What they offer: Sportsbook with combo boosts/freebet promos, plus a broad casino and regular reload/free-spin offers.
- Payments: Strong mix: Visa, MasterCard, Neosurf, Interac, MiFinity, Flexepin, CashtoCode, and many cryptos (BTC, ETH, XRP, LTC, USDT, BNB, etc.).
NeoSpin
- Sports welcome bonus: No dedicated sportsbook welcome widely advertised at the moment (sports section exists but promos focus on casino).
- Casino welcome: 100% up to €/$1,000 (+100 FS) with code NEO1; further deposit bonuses (NEO2/NEO3/NEOVIP) scale higher.
- What they offer: Casino-first site now including sports; big deposit offers and ongoing cashback; multi-currency incl. crypto denominations.
- Payments: E-wallets (Skrill, Neteller, MuchBetter, MiFinity) and bank transfer/Inpay for withdrawals; deposits/bonuses priced in fiat & crypto (BTC, ETH, USDT, etc.).
Conclusion
NFL betting is a very complex but also a very interesting experience for Aussie punters. It combines the knowledge with strategy and a bit of luck, which together create a season-long journey that nothing compares to.
For you as a player, it is important to understand the odds, do your research on numbers, and find the best platform for betting. For the last one, you should look at our top-rated offshore betting sites, not on BetStop, and get started immediately.
If you also follow the AFL, our breakdown of trusted Australian football betting sites not on BetStop helps you find markets beyond the NFL.